Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 8.882904 10.364377 11.984356 13.883001 16.042744 18.418427 21.224716
2026-01-25 6.187777 8.134397 10.488118 13.522927 17.309201 21.852437 27.689080
2026-02-01 4.622973 6.696069 9.413087 13.188502 18.244588 24.720911 33.571900
2026-02-08 3.524389 5.556683 8.412372 12.640686 18.647887 26.765836 38.429246
2026-02-15 2.778848 4.729888 7.647370 12.215262 19.045487 28.707590 43.187746
2026-02-22 2.403061 4.370929 7.474975 12.570277 20.521860 32.203292 50.324204
2026-03-01 2.110341 4.082228 7.349127 12.947111 22.025112 35.816917 57.872291
2026-03-08 1.736091 3.580340 6.794410 12.548310 22.247414 37.485510 62.599194
2026-03-15 1.452922 3.185801 6.354382 12.264684 22.591998 39.325613 67.673328
2026-03-22 1.342744 3.098569 6.439179 12.883430 24.476806 43.734211 77.082846
2026-03-29 1.220826 2.964463 6.414864 13.294067 26.025919 47.687961 86.001768
2026-04-05 1.073252 2.748356 6.200795 13.320937 26.884566 50.528247 93.244458
2026-04-12 0.930402 2.528212 5.973131 13.346393 27.840044 53.775145 101.711416
2026-04-19 0.774581 2.247117 5.582145 13.012433 28.117558 55.909595 108.529750
2026-04-26 0.646079 2.001214 5.223839 12.691868 28.377740 58.022923 115.461081
2026-05-03 0.526427 1.746479 4.798556 12.162873 28.153167 59.202672 120.768866
2026-05-10 0.434469 1.541922 4.452036 11.751818 28.111277 60.700665 126.739318
2026-05-17 0.394341 1.477555 4.437886 12.094941 29.685669 65.432642 139.098778
2026-05-24 0.359699 1.421030 4.433776 12.459179 31.336685 70.429291 152.278838
2026-05-31 0.299762 1.265360 4.138446 12.073715 31.284592 71.988033 158.857996
2026-06-07 0.253190 1.140196 3.902255 11.799603 31.448656 73.988526 166.424464
2026-06-14 0.239972 1.131621 3.998734 12.397626 33.695789 80.499504 183.467944
2026-06-21 0.221789 1.099115 4.018737 12.794573 35.500190 86.186382 199.153179